The southwest monsoon activity has remained limited only to parts of South, East, and Northeast India even at the beginning of July. According to a report in The Weather Channel, majority of the monsoonal rainfall through the week was focused over East-Northeast — so much so that seven of the ten rainiest states (Meghalaya, Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, West Bengal, Bihar and Assam) and the top five wettest subdivisions (Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal) all hailed from this region of the country.

Meanwhile, parts of Northwest India haven’t experience rainfall, where residents are enduring scorching heatwaves.

The coming week, however, is expected to bring relief with a drastic shift in the monsoon pattern, especially over Northwest, Central, and Western-Southwestern India.

As per the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) latest update, the meteorological conditions are finally favourable for further advancement of southwest monsoon over the remaining parts of West Uttar Pradesh and some parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Delhi around July 10. This news comes as a major respite for the people living in this region, as they will finally welcome monsoon showers about two weeks later than normal.

The moist easterly monsoonal winds blowing inland from the Bay of Bengal will produce scattered to widespread rains with isolated heavy showers across North, Northwest, and adjoining Central India from July 9 onwards.

Furthermore, the strengthening of the southwest monsoon over the Arabian Sea will also increase the rainfall activity along the west coast and the western-southwestern states.

To add to these predictions, a low-pressure area is expected to form over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal around July 11. Upon its formation, this system will start pulling winds from all over the country and facilitate the larger movement of monsoons, effectively causing the intensification of rainfall activity along both western and eastern coasts of India in the week to come.

But on the contrary, monsoon rainfall intensity and distribution over Northeast India is expected to decrease starting July 9.

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